StatSheet Projects UCF as NIT Five Seed: 02/09/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 9th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet is projecting UCF to go to the NIT as a five seed. The Knights are #65 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-6 overall record and a 7-3 record in the C-USA.

During its last four games, UCF was steady with wins against Marshall, Southern Methodist, and Palm Beach Atlantic but also dropped one against RPI #9 Southern Miss.

UCF is underwhelming against top competition, with a 3-4 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. While the Knights have two quality wins including RPI #16 Memphis and RPI #20 Connecticut, they're also weighed down by two bad losses including RPI #103 Tulsa and RPI #153 Louisiana.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #64), New Mexico (19-4, 5-2 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Minnesota (17-7, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #49), and Ole Miss (14-8, 4-4 SEC, StatRank #51).

The first four teams out are Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #44), Colorado (16-7, 8-3 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #70), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #69).

The next four out are Arizona (16-8, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #65), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #69), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #50), and South Dakota State (19-6, 11-2 Summit League, StatRank #59).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11California
#12Minnesota
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5UNLV
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Northwestern
#9Illinois
#10Miami (FL)
#11Gonzaga
#12Ole Miss
#13Long Beach State
#14Cleveland State
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4Murray State
#5Virginia
#6Mississippi State
#7Temple
#8Seton Hall
#9Memphis
#10Notre Dame
#11Iowa State
#12New Mexico
#13MTSU
#14Iona
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4San Diego State
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Vanderbilt
#8Wichita State
#9West Virginia
#10Saint Louis
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13Oral Roberts
#14Washington
#15Nevada
#16Weber State
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten8 1266.7%
SEC7 1258.3%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 125 1050.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-102 1414.3%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Pac 122 1216.7%
Horizon1 1010.0%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Big South1 119.1%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
Southland1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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C-USA Standings

OverallConf
1 Memphis 26-9 13-3
2 Southern Miss 25-9 11-5
 3UCF 22-11 10-6
3 Tulsa 17-14 10-6
5 Marshall 21-14 9-7
5 UAB 15-16 9-7
7 Rice 19-16 8-8
8 Houston 15-15 7-9
8 Texas-El Paso 15-17 7-9
10 East Carolina 15-16 5-11
11 SMU 13-19 4-12
12 Tulane 15-16 3-13
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#33 Keith Clanton Jr F 6-9 245
#24 Josh Crittle Jr C 6-9 260
#0 Rod Days Fr G/F 6-6 210
#21 P.J. Gaynor Sr F 6-8 220
#11 Bobby Horodyski Jr G 6-0 175
#13 Jeff Jordan Sr G 6-1 175
#5 Marcus Jordan Jr G 6-3 205
#2 Wayne Martin Fr F 6-7 205
#10 Dwight McCombs Sr F/C 6-8 235
#14 C. Newell Jr. So G 6-1 200
#12 C.J. Reed Sr G 6-3 200
#3 A.J. Rompza Sr G 5-9 170
#1 T. Spurlock So F 6-8 230
#32 Isaiah Sykes So G/F 6-5 210
#22 Kasey Wilson Fr F 6-7 225