StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting UCF to go to the NIT as a five seed. The Knights are #65 in the StatSheet StatRank with an 18-6 overall record and a 7-3 record in the C-USA.
During its last four games, UCF was steady with wins against Marshall, Southern Methodist, and Palm Beach Atlantic but also dropped one against RPI #9 Southern Miss.
UCF is underwhelming against top competition, with a 3-4 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 2-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-2 record against AP ranked teams. While the Knights have two quality wins including RPI #16 Memphis and RPI #20 Connecticut, they're also weighed down by two bad losses including RPI #103 Tulsa and RPI #153 Louisiana.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #64), New Mexico (19-4, 5-2 Mountain West, StatRank #41), Minnesota (17-7, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #49), and Ole Miss (14-8, 4-4 SEC, StatRank #51).
The first four teams out are Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #44), Colorado (16-7, 8-3 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #70), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #69).
The next four out are Arizona (16-8, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #65), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #69), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #50), and South Dakota State (19-6, 11-2 Summit League, StatRank #59).
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NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference